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AN EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS OF THE IMPACT OF GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURE ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN NIGERIA
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Table of contents
Table of content vii
Abstract xi
CHAPTER ONE: GENERAL INTRODUCTION
1.1 Background to the Study 1
1.2 Problem Statement 3
1.3 Objective of the Study 9
1.4 Research Hypothesis 9
1.5 Justification of the Study 10
1.6 Scope and Limitation of the study 11
1.7 Sources of Data/Information 12
1.8 Research Methodology 12
CHAPTER TWO: LITERATURE REVIEW AND THEORETICAL FRAMEWORK
2.1 Introduction 14
2.2 Conceptual issues on Government Expenditure 14
2.1.1 Fiscal Policies in Nigeria 18
2.1.2 The Role of Public Expenditure 20
2.3 Theoretical Framework 21
2.3.1 Musgrave Theory of Public Expenditure Growth 21
2.3.2 The Wagner’s Law/Theory of Increasing State Activities 21
2.3.3 The Keynesian Theory 22
2.3.4 The Solow’s Theory 23
2.3.5 Endogenous Growth Theory 24
2.4 Empirical Review 25
2.5 Limitation of the Previous Studies 34
2.6 Trend Analysis of Public Expenditure in Nigeria 35
CHAPTER THREE: RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
3.1 Introduction 40
3.2 Sources of Data 40
3.3 Re-Statement of the Hypothesis 40
3.4 Method of Data Analysis 41
3.5 Criteria for Decision Making 42
3.6 Model specification 43
3.7 Descriptions of Variables 45
3.8 Apriori Expectation 46
CHAPTER FOUR: DATA PRESENTATION AND ANALYSIS
4.1 Data Presentation 47
4.2 Data Analysis 48
4.3 Presentation of Regression Result 49
4.4 Interpretation and Evaluation of Result 50
4.5 Multi-collinearity Test 51
4.6 Evaluation Based on Economic Criteria 52
4.6.1 Evaluation Based on Apriori Expectation 52
4.6.2 Evaluation Based on Statistical Criteria 53
4.7 Test of Hypothesis 55
4.8 Discussion of Findings 57
4.8.1 Evaluation of Result Based on Objectives of the Study 57
4.8.2 Evaluation of Result Based on literature Reviewed and
Theoretical Framework 57
CHAPTER FIVE: SUMMARY, CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATION
5.1 Summary of findings 59
5.2 Conclusion 60
5.3 Policy Recommendation 60
REFERENCES 61
APPENDIX 65
Abstract
This study examined government expenditure and its impact on economic growth in Nigeria. The main objective of the study is to find out the impact of government expenditure on economic growth in Nigeria. The study made use of secondary data which were sourced from the Central Bank of Nigeria Statistical Bulletin and World Development Index (WDI). The use of econometric model was formulated through the use of multiple regression model of ordinary least squared (OLS) to obtain the relationship between the variables in the model from 1980-2013.
Findings from the analysis show that the coefficient of Government Recurrent Expenditure (GREXP) is 0.407662; recurrent government expenditure had positive and significant impact on economic growth. The coefficient of Government Capital Expenditure (GCEXP) is -0.226691; capital expenditure had negative and non-significant impact on economic growth. The coefficient of Inflation Rate (INFLR) is 0.000531; inflation rate had positive but insignificant impact on economic growth.
The study concludes and recommends that government should increase recurrent expenditure (payment of wages and salary, interest on national dept, maintenance of social services, etc.) and capital expenditure mostly on issues that should attract economic growth. Funds meant for development of the Nigerian economy should be properly managed by the executive arm of government to boost employment as well as improve the wellbeing of citizens which will lead to economic growth and development
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