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AN EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS OF THE IMPACT OF GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURE ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN NIGERIA

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Table of contents

Table of content                                                                                                 vii

Abstract                                                                                                              xi

CHAPTER ONE: GENERAL INTRODUCTION

1.1          Background to the Study                                                                         1

1.2          Problem Statement                                                                                   3

1.3          Objective  of the Study                                                                            9

1.4          Research Hypothesis                                                                                9

1.5          Justification of the Study                                                                         10

1.6          Scope and Limitation of the study                                                           11

1.7          Sources of Data/Information                                                                    12

1.8          Research Methodology                                                                            12

 

CHAPTER TWO: LITERATURE REVIEW AND THEORETICAL FRAMEWORK

2.1       Introduction                                                                                            14

2.2       Conceptual issues on Government Expenditure                                    14

2.1.1    Fiscal Policies in Nigeria                                                                       18

2.1.2    The Role of Public Expenditure                                                             20

2.3       Theoretical Framework                                                                          21

2.3.1    Musgrave Theory of Public Expenditure Growth                                21

2.3.2    The Wagner’s Law/Theory of Increasing State Activities               21

2.3.3    The Keynesian Theory                                                                           22

2.3.4    The Solow’s Theory                                                                               23

2.3.5    Endogenous Growth Theory                                                                  24

2.4       Empirical Review                                                                                  25

2.5       Limitation of the Previous Studies                                                        34

2.6       Trend Analysis of Public Expenditure in Nigeria                                  35

CHAPTER THREE: RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

3.1       Introduction                                                                                            40

3.2       Sources of Data                                                                                      40

3.3       Re-Statement of the Hypothesis                                                            40

3.4       Method of Data Analysis                                                                       41

3.5       Criteria for Decision Making                                                                 42

3.6       Model specification                                                                                43

3.7       Descriptions of Variables                                                                       45

3.8       Apriori Expectation                                                                                46

CHAPTER FOUR: DATA PRESENTATION AND ANALYSIS

4.1       Data Presentation                                                                                   47

4.2       Data Analysis                                                                                         48

4.3       Presentation of Regression Result                                                         49

4.4       Interpretation and Evaluation of Result                                                 50

4.5       Multi-collinearity Test                                                                           51

4.6       Evaluation Based on Economic Criteria                                                52

4.6.1    Evaluation Based on Apriori Expectation                                             52

4.6.2    Evaluation Based on Statistical Criteria                                                53

4.7       Test of Hypothesis                                                                                 55

4.8       Discussion of Findings                                                                          57

4.8.1    Evaluation of Result Based on Objectives of the Study                     57

4.8.2    Evaluation of Result Based on literature Reviewed and

Theoretical Framework                                                                                      57

CHAPTER FIVE:          SUMMARY,          CONCLUSION    AND RECOMMENDATION

5.1       Summary of findings                                                                             59

5.2       Conclusion                                                                                             60

5.3       Policy Recommendation                                                                        60

            REFERENCES                                                                                      61

            APPENDIX                                                                                            65 

Abstract

This study examined government expenditure and its impact on economic growth in Nigeria. The main objective of the study is to find out the impact of government expenditure on economic growth in Nigeria. The study made use of secondary data which were sourced from the Central Bank of Nigeria Statistical Bulletin and World Development Index (WDI). The use of econometric model was formulated through the use of multiple regression model of ordinary least squared (OLS) to obtain the relationship between the variables in the model from 1980-2013.

Findings from the analysis show that the coefficient of Government Recurrent Expenditure (GREXP) is 0.407662; recurrent government expenditure had positive and significant impact on economic growth. The coefficient of Government Capital Expenditure (GCEXP) is -0.226691; capital expenditure had negative and non-significant impact on economic growth. The coefficient of Inflation Rate (INFLR) is 0.000531; inflation rate had positive but insignificant impact on economic growth. 

The study concludes and recommends that government should increase recurrent expenditure (payment of wages and salary, interest on national dept, maintenance of social services, etc.) and capital expenditure mostly on issues that should attract economic growth. Funds meant for development of the Nigerian economy should be properly managed by the executive arm of government to boost employment as well as improve the wellbeing of citizens which will lead to economic growth and development 

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