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EFFECT OF MONETARY POLICY ON REMITTANCE AND FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT IN NIGERIA.
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Table of contents
CHAPTER ONE: INTRODUCTION 1
1.1 Background to the Study 1
1.2 Statement of the Problem 4
1.3 Research Questions 5
1.4 Objectives of the Study 6
1.5 Research Hypotheses 6
1.6 Scope of the Study 6
1.7 Significance of the Study 7
CHAPTER TWO: LITERATURE REVIEW 8
2.1 Conceptual Review 8
2.1.1 The Concept of Monetary policy 8
2.1.2 Monetary Policy Tools and Techniques 9
2.1.3 Monetary Policy Rate 12
2.1.4 Meaning of Remittance 13
2.1.5 Concept of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) 15
2.2 Theoretical Review 17
2.2.1 Keynesian Theory of Investment 17
2.2.2 Acceleration Theories of Investment 18
2.2.3 Pure Altruism Theory 19
2.2.4 Pure Self Interest Theory 20
2.3 Empirical Review 21
2.3.1 Effect of Monetary Policy on Remittances and Foreign Direct Investment:
Evidence from Developed Countries 21
2.3.2 Effect of CBN Monetary Policy on Remittances and Foreign Direct Investment:
Evidence from Developing Countries 24
2.3.3 Effect of CBN Monetary Policy on Remittances and Foreign Direct Investment:
Evidence from Nigeria 28
2.4 Gaps in Literature 30
CHAPTER THREE: RESEARCH METHODOLOGY 31
3.1 Theoretical Framework 31
3.2 Model Specification 33
3.3 A priori Expectations 35
3.4 Sources of Data 35
3.5 Method of Analysis 36
3.6 Definition of Variables/ Measurement 36
CHAPTER FOUR: RESULTS AND DISCUSSION 38
4.1 Trend Analysis 38
4.2 Effect of Monetary Policy on Remittance and Foreign Direct Investment
in Nigeria 44
4.3 Unit Root Test 47
4.4 Test of Hypotheses 51
4.5 General Discussion 51
CHAPTER FIVE: SUMMARY, CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS 54
5.1 Summary 54
5.2 Conclusion 55
5.3 Recommendation 55
References 58
Appendices 61
Abstract
The study examined the effect of monetary policy on remittance and foreign direct investment in Nigeria. It specifically analyzed the trend of monetary policies, remittance and foreign direct investment for the period of study, examine the effect of monetary policies on remittance and examine the effect of monetary policies on foreign direct investment. The scope of this study covers the effect of monetary policies on remittances and foreign direct investment in Nigeria for the period of 18 years 2001 – 2018. The data for each variable used in this study were obtain from the statistical bulletin of the Central Bank of Nigeria 2017 and International monetary fund, international financial statistics. This study utilized ordinary least square econometrics. On the other hand, most economic variables were observed to be stationary (that is, the means and variances of these economic variables are constant). The econometric tool that was used for these verifications were Augmented Dickey-Fuller test for stationary. Finding from the study revealed that Gross Domestic Product (β=1.029515, t=2.947394, P<0.05),Treasury bill rate (β=-0.094420, t=-4.240815, P<0.05)exert a positive significant effect on remittance in Nigeria while deposit rate (β=-0.112501, t=-2.076588, P>0.05), Inflation rate (β=0.008781, t=0.271050, P>0.05), and Exchange rate (β=0.002616, t=1.332443, P>0.05) do not exert a significant effect on remittance in Nigeria. Also, exchange rate (β=-0.005772, t=-2.578202, P<0.05) and Inflation rate (β=0.030789, t=0.833442, P<0.05) exert a significant positive effect on foreign direct investment in Nigeria while Treasury bill rate (β=-0.02220, t=-0.874493, P>0.05), Gross Domestic Product (β=0.851201, t=2.137128, P>0.05) and deposit rate (β=-0.030778, t=-0.498219, P>0.05) do not exert a significant effect on foreign direct investment in Nigeria. It was concluded that exchange rate impacts negatively on remittances, this suggests that depreciation of the exchange rate which signals adverse economic conditions back home tends to reduce remittance inflows. Hence, this study concluded that GDP and Treasury bill rate are the major factors that determines inflows of remittances during the period of the study. Based on the findings the study recommended that Government should implement policies that will enhance exchange rate appreciation for Nigeria to harness remittance inflows for investment purpose.
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