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EFFECT OF MONETARY POLICY ON REMITTANCE AND FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT IN NIGERIA.

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Table of contents

CHAPTER ONE: INTRODUCTION                                                                                               1

1.1       Background to the Study                                                                                           1

1.2       Statement of the Problem                                                                                           4

1.3       Research Questions                                                                                                     5

1.4       Objectives of the Study                                                                                              6

1.5       Research Hypotheses                                                                                                  6

1.6       Scope of the Study                                                                                                     6

1.7       Significance of the Study                                                                                           7

CHAPTER TWO: LITERATURE REVIEW                                                                                    8

2.1       Conceptual Review                                                                                                     8

2.1.1    The Concept of Monetary policy                                                                                8

2.1.2    Monetary Policy Tools and Techniques                                                                      9

2.1.3    Monetary Policy Rate                                                                                                 12

2.1.4    Meaning of Remittance                                                                                              13

2.1.5    Concept of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI)                                                             15

2.2       Theoretical Review                                                                                                     17

2.2.1    Keynesian Theory of Investment                                                                                17

2.2.2    Acceleration Theories of Investment                                                                          18

2.2.3    Pure Altruism Theory                                                                                                  19

2.2.4    Pure Self Interest Theory                                                                                            20

2.3       Empirical Review                                                                                                        21

2.3.1    Effect of Monetary Policy on Remittances and Foreign Direct Investment:             

            Evidence from Developed Countries                                                                         21

2.3.2    Effect of CBN Monetary Policy on Remittances and Foreign Direct Investment: 

            Evidence from Developing Countries                                                                        24

2.3.3    Effect of CBN Monetary Policy on Remittances and Foreign Direct Investment: 

            Evidence from Nigeria                                                                                                28

2.4       Gaps in Literature                                                                                                       30

CHAPTER THREE: RESEARCH METHODOLOGY                                                       31

3.1      Theoretical Framework                                                                                                31

3.2       Model Specification                                                                                                    33

3.3       A priori Expectations                                                                                                  35

3.4       Sources of Data                                                                                                          35

3.5       Method of Analysis                                                                                                    36

3.6       Definition of Variables/ Measurement                                                                        36

CHAPTER FOUR: RESULTS AND DISCUSSION                                                                       38

4.1       Trend Analysis                                                                                                            38

4.2       Effect of Monetary Policy on Remittance and Foreign Direct Investment 

            in Nigeria                                                                                                                    44

4.3       Unit Root Test                                                                                                                        47

4.4       Test of Hypotheses                                                                                                     51

4.5 General Discussion                                                                                                           51

CHAPTER FIVE: SUMMARY, CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS                       54

5.1       Summary                                                                                                                     54

5.2       Conclusion                                                                                                                  55

5.3       Recommendation                                                                                                        55

References                                                                                                                              58

Appendices                                                                                                                             61

Abstract

The study examined the effect of monetary policy on remittance and foreign direct investment in Nigeria. It specifically analyzed the trend of monetary policies, remittance and foreign direct investment for the period of study, examine the effect of monetary policies on remittance and examine the effect of monetary policies on foreign direct investment. The scope of this study covers the effect of monetary policies on remittances and foreign direct investment in Nigeria for the period of 18 years 2001 – 2018. The data for each variable used in this study were obtain from the statistical bulletin of the Central Bank of Nigeria 2017 and International monetary fund, international financial statistics. This study utilized ordinary least square econometrics. On the other hand, most economic variables were observed to be stationary (that is, the means and variances of these economic variables are constant). The econometric tool that was used for these verifications were Augmented Dickey-Fuller test for stationary. Finding from the study revealed that Gross Domestic Product (β=1.029515, t=2.947394, P<0.05),Treasury bill rate (β=-0.094420, t=-4.240815, P<0.05)exert a positive significant effect on remittance in Nigeria while deposit  rate (β=-0.112501, t=-2.076588, P>0.05), Inflation rate (β=0.008781, t=0.271050, P>0.05), and Exchange rate (β=0.002616, t=1.332443, P>0.05) do not exert a significant effect on remittance in Nigeria. Also, exchange rate (β=-0.005772, t=-2.578202, P<0.05) and Inflation rate (β=0.030789, t=0.833442, P<0.05) exert a significant positive effect on foreign direct investment in Nigeria while Treasury bill rate (β=-0.02220, t=-0.874493, P>0.05), Gross Domestic Product (β=0.851201, t=2.137128, P>0.05) and deposit rate (β=-0.030778, t=-0.498219, P>0.05) do not exert a significant effect on foreign direct investment in Nigeria. It was concluded that exchange rate impacts negatively on remittances, this suggests that depreciation of the exchange rate which signals adverse economic conditions back home tends to reduce remittance inflows. Hence, this study concluded that GDP and Treasury bill rate are the major factors that determines inflows of remittances during the period of the study. Based on the findings the study recommended that Government should implement policies that will enhance exchange rate appreciation for Nigeria to harness remittance inflows for investment purpose.

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