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IMPACT OF FOREIGN TRADE ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN NIGERIA

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Table of contents

 

CHAPTER ONE: Introduction                                                                                               1 

1.1       Background to the study                                                                                             1 

1.2       Statement of the Problem                                                                                           2 

1.3       Objectives of the Study                                                                                              4 

1.4       Research Questions                                                                                                    4 

1.5       Research Hypotheses                                                                                                  4 

1.6       Scope of the Study                                                                                                      4 

1.7       Justification for the Study                                                                                           5 

CHAPTER TWO: Literature Review                                                                                    6 

2.1       Conceptual Review                                                                                                     6 

2.1.1    Concept of Foreign Trade                                                                                          6 

2.1.2    Trade Polices and Foreign Trade in the Nigerian Context                                         8 

2.1.3    Economic Growth                                                                                                       10 

2.2.1    Classical Theory of Trade                                                                                          12 

2.2.2    The Theory of Factor Proportion                                                                                13 

2.2.3    The Product Life Cycle Theory                                                                                  13 

2.2.4    Neoclassical Growth Theory                                                                                      14 

2.2.5    Endogenous Growth Models                                                                                      14 

2.3       Empirical Review                                                                                                       15 

2.3.1    Impact of Foreign Trade on Economic Growth of Developing Countries                    15 

2.3.2    Impact of Foreign Trade on Economic Growth of Developed Countries                    18 

2.3.3    Impact of Foreign Trade on Economic Growth of Nigeria                                        20 

CHAPTER THREE: Methodology                                                                                        26 

3.1       Research Design                                                                                                         26 

3.2       Source of Data                                                                                                                        26 

3.3       Model Specification                                                                                                   28 

3.4       Method of Data Analysis                                                                                            29 

CHAPTER FOUR: Data Presentation and Analysis of Result                                              30 

4.0       Introduction                                                                                                                30 

4.1       Restatement of Model                                                                                                30 

4.1.1    Data Presentation                                                                                                        30 

4.2       Results and Discussions                                                                                             31 

CHAPTER FIVE: Summary, Conclusion and Recommendations                                        35 

5.1       Summary                                                                                                                    35 

5.2       Conclusion                                                                                                                  36 

5.3       Recommendations                                                                                                      37 

References                                                                                                                              38 

Appendix                                                                                                                                41 

Abstract

 

There has been a long held belief that there is a positive relationship between economic growth and increased levels of foreign trade. Therefore, this study has empirically examined the impact of impact foreign trade on economic growth in Nigeria for the period 1980 to 2017. 

            Using foreign direct investment, value of import and export trade and exchange rate to proxy foreign trade, the ordinary least squares technique was employed to estimate the impact of foreign trade on Gross Domestic Product. The analysis was based on data extracted from World Bank data and Central Bank of Nigeria Statistical Bulletin. 

            Finding from the study showed that showed that exchange rate and total foreign trade are positively related to GDP, while foreign direct investment has a negative influence on GDP. Based on the empirical results FDI have a potential to create growth and expansion of infrastructure in the Nigerian economy. 

            It is concluded that foreign trade has significant impact on economic growth of Nigeria. Therefore, the study recommends that policy makers should adopt policies on trade liberalization such as reduction of non-tariff barriers, reducing tariffs, reducing or eliminating quotas that will enable the economy to grow at spectacular rates. 

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