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THE IMPACT OF EXTERNAL TRADE ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN NIGERIA

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Table of contents

CHAPTER ONE 

1.1     Background of the Study                                                                         1

1.2     Problem of the Study                                                                               5

1.3     Objective of the Study                                                                             8

1.4     Statement of Research Question                                                    8

1.5     Statement of Research Hypothesis                                                          9

1.6     Justification of Study                                                                               9

1.7     Scope of the Study                                                                                   10

1.8     Plan of the Study                                                                                      11

CHAPTER TWO 

2.0     Literature Review                                                                                    13

2.1     Conceptual Review                                                                                  13

2.1.1  Modern Theory of Trade                                                                          13

2.2     Theoretical Review                                                                                  15

2.2.1  Foreign Trade and Economic Growth in Nigeria                                    18

2.3     Empirical Review                                                                                    20

CHAPTER THREE                 

3.1     Introduction                                                                                              29

3.2     Source of Data                                                                                         29

3.3     Re-Statement of Research Hypothesis                                                     30

3.4     Method of Data Analysis/Estimation Techniques                                   30

3.5     Model Specification                                                                                 31

3.6     Criteria for Decision Making                                                                   32 

CHAPTER FOUR 

4.1     Introduction                                                                                              35

4.2     Data Presentation                                                                                     35

4.3     Presentation of Result                                                                              36

4.4     Interpretation of Result                                                                            37

 CHAPTER FIVE 

5.1     Summary of Findings                                                                              41

5.2     Conclusion                                                                                               42

5.3     Recommendations                                                                                    43

References                                                                                                          45

Appendix                                                                                                            50

Abstract

          This study investigated the impact of external trade on economic growth in Nigeria. It focused on the determinants of international trade in Nigerian economy from 1981 – 2014. The method of estimation is based on the use of multiple regression techniques using the regress and regressed terminology. Time series secondary data were used for the analysis. The secondary data were obtained from such publications as World Bank Digest of Statistics, Central Bank of Nigeria Statistical Bulletin, International Financial Statistics etc. 

          The result of the coefficient shows that volume of trade and lag of real GDP are positively significant to country RGDP. An increase in these variables eventually leads to increase in total volume of real gross domestic product. 

It is therefore recommended that in order to promote growth and development, conscious efforts should be made in the formulation of policies to create enabling environment that will promote non-oil exports, ensure growth induced imports and promote the use of local raw materials.

 Key words: External Trade, Growth and Economy

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